Confirmed previous forecast
-0.971485
Relative Brier Score
1148
Forecasts
61
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 8 | 35 | 337 | 281 | 1148 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
| Questions Forecasted | 8 | 15 | 36 | 24 | 82 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 61 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Open RAN,
Future Bowl
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
3%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
28%
(0%)
Yes
72%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025
85%
(0%)
No
Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(+5%)
Yes
60%
(-5%)
No
Nvidia are currently on top.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
33%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to Nov 16, 2025
67%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to Nov 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files