Confirmed previous forecast
-1.005358
Relative Brier Score
698
Forecasts
50
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 9 | 37 | 345 | 262 | 1129 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Questions Forecasted | 9 | 15 | 38 | 24 | 82 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 61 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Yes
65%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
33%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2024 to Nov 3, 2025
67%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2024 to Nov 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Power Forecaster - Oct 2024
Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(-5%)
Yes
65%
(+5%)
No
Lowering with time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Under two months left.