37th
Accuracy Rank

Paul_Rowan

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:38AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 1%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 1%
Saudi Arabia 0% 2%
Tunisia 0% 1%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:39AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 97% 97%
No 3% 3%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:41AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 12% Nov 21, 2024 to Nov 21, 2025 Feb 21, 2025 12%
No 88% Nov 21, 2024 to Nov 21, 2025 Feb 21, 2025 88%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 11:40AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username