Forecasted Questions
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
18 Forecasts
18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:38AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 21, 2024 08:38AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kuwait | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Oman | 0% | 2% | -2% | 0% |
Qatar | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Saudi Arabia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
Tunisia | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:39AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 21, 2024 08:39AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 97% | 97% | +0% | +0% |
No | 3% | 3% | +0% | +0% |
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 08:41AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 21, 2024 08:41AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 12% | Nov 21, 2024 to Nov 21, 2025 | Feb 21, 2025 | 12% | +0% | -2% |
No | 88% | Nov 21, 2024 to Nov 21, 2025 | Feb 21, 2025 | 88% | +0% | +2% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 11:40AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 21, 2024 11:40AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | 0% |
No | 99% | 99% | +0% | 0% |