Confirmed previous forecast
1.362951
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 25 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
42%
(0%)
Yes
58%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Less than 24%
50%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
29%
(0%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
13%
(0%)
More than or equal to 28%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Moldova
35%
(0%)
Armenia
50%
(0%)
Georgia
20%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025
60%
(0%)
No
Oct 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
67%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
71%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Unless Ukraine further its attack on Russia or Putin get some health issue, he will continue to be the Russian leader. He is feared by the opposition, he has a good relationship with militars, and in war times it is very difficult a leadership change.
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 30, 2024 01:58AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
68%
Yes
Aug 30, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
32%
No
Aug 30, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Politics in Africa are always surrounded by skepticism when it comes to governments' stability. A coup d'État is surely problable, by the reason that the majority of countries in Africa suffer from systemical instabilities such as corruption, low development rates, and military interferences on politics, resulting in many coups at the continent since middle of the past century. Therefore, due theses reasons, it is very probable to occur a coup in the next months in some african country.
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Why might you be wrong?
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