Forecasted Questions
Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 02:00PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Nov 21, 2024 02:00PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | Nov 21, 2024 to May 21, 2025 | Dec 21, 2024 | 10% | -3% | +0% |
| No | 93% | Nov 21, 2024 to May 21, 2025 | Dec 21, 2024 | 90% | +3% | +0% |