Forecasted Questions
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 14, 2025 05:09PM
(2 months ago)
Jan 14, 2025 05:09PM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 10% | 1% | +9% | -1% |
| Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 25% | 2% | +23% | -1% |
| Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
| Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 5% | 0% | +5% | +0% |