-0.639616
Relative Brier Score
316
Forecasts
27
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 30 | 365 | 316 | 1254 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 69 | 58 | 634 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 26 | 83 | 58 | 266 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 110 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
(+4%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025
93%
(-4%)
No
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(+15%)
Yes
25%
(-15%)
No
nvidia is ahead
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Oct 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
New Badge
Star Commenter - Oct 2024
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Yes
35%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Previous reasoning but made error in the percentage