11th
Accuracy Rank

YJAung

Yan Aung
About:
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2.931622

Relative Brier Score

1254

Forecasts

110

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 30 365 316 1254
Comments 0 3 69 58 634
Questions Forecasted 0 26 83 58 266
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 4 28 27 110
 Definitions


New Prediction
YJAung
made their 14th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (+3%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025
90% (-3%)
No
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025

Previous reasoning but made error in the percentage

Files
New Badge
YJAung
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
YJAung
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
75% (+15%)
Yes
25% (-15%)
No

nvidia is ahead

Files
New Badge
YJAung
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
YJAung
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Badge
YJAung
earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Oct 2024

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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