152nd
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:

I am Electrical Engineer with a Master in Computer Science and one in Economics and Finances. PM4R Professional, ISO 9001:2015 Lead Auditor, LEGO MINDSTORM EV3 Robots Specialist, IEEE Senior Member and active volunteer in many organizations. I work with the Monitoring of the National SDG Agenda and I am an active promoter of STEM Careers, More participation of Women in Engineering, Data Science and the role that Technology and Tech Professionals have in the Sustainable Development of our Communities and the design and implementation of Public Policies.
I do believe data can be and most be used for the Sustainable Development of our Communities and projects like FORETELL should be supported, promoted and replicated as much as possible in US and around the World.

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Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 05:37PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 3% 2%
Latvia 3% 1%
Lithuania 3% 1%

Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 05:37PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana 10% 3%
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells 15% 4%
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo 0% 1%
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo 0% 1%

What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 05:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 24% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% 0% 2%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% 20% 6%
More than or equal to 28% 80% 92%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 05:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 20% 27%
No 80% 73%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 05:40PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 1% 1%
Oman 1% 2%
Qatar 1% 1%
Saudi Arabia 2% 2%
Tunisia 1% 1%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 09:44PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications 40% 33%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP 60% 64%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP 0% 3%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 09:45PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2024 09:45PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 45% 37%
No 55% 63%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 14, 2024 12:34PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 45% 15%
No 55% 85%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 23, 2024 04:38PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 8% 8%
Armenia 4% 2%
Georgia 3% 4%
Kazakhstan 3% 2%
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