2nd
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:

I am Electrical Engineer with a Master in Computer Science and one in Economics and Finances. PM4R Professional, ISO 9001:2015 Lead Auditor, LEGO MINDSTORM EV3 Robots Specialist, IEEE Senior Member and active volunteer in many organizations. I work with the Monitoring of the National SDG Agenda and I am an active promoter of STEM Careers, More participation of Women in Engineering, Data Science and the role that Technology and Tech Professionals have in the Sustainable Development of our Communities and the design and implementation of Public Policies.
I do believe data can be and most be used for the Sustainable Development of our Communities and projects like FORETELL should be supported, promoted and replicated as much as possible in US and around the World.

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2025 Season Stats

-0.508967

Relative Brier Score
138230-2024681012141618202224
Questions Forecasted
1110-0.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.1
Scored Questions

42

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
LessMoreJanFebMarAprSuMoTuWeThFrSa
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 20 262 42 1123
Comments 0 10 58 21 510
Questions Forecasted 0 19 55 23 205
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 16 0 60
 Definitions
New Badge
aggaray earned a new badge:

Oracle - Bronze

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 3 months in a row.
New Badge
aggaray earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Mar 2025

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
aggaray earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Mar 2025

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Badge
aggaray earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Mar 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Iam adding a 50% to My forecast for a Yes because of the sudden changes in Foreign and Commercial Policies between US and China

Files
Why might you be wrong?

I could be wrong if China decides is not important in This moment

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

So far seems to be something not as Risky

Files
Why might you be wrong?

maybe a change in regulation or a lack of it

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Unfortunately, This outcome seems to be unlikely right now because of Russia's tone

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Maybe with external help This could be feasible

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
aggaray made their 8th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
10% (-15%)
Yes
90% (+15%)
No
Why do you think you're right?

Updating my forecast and reducing the probability considering the current commercial war between US and China

Files
Why might you be wrong?

A suddent new commercial agreement or talks

Files
 
Files
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