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130th
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:
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1.385068

Relative Brier Score

196

Forecasts

4

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 31 34 294 241 1016
Comments 6 6 43 41 105
Questions Forecasted 31 33 63 55 195
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 28 24 56
 Definitions
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
40% (+35%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
60% (-35%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
0% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP

Updating my forecast considering a higher probability for the first option in terms of development in separate ways

Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 13th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Kuwait
1% (0%)
Oman
1% (0%)
Qatar
2% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
1% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
20% (0%)
Yes
80% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 24%
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
20% (-60%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
80% (+60%)
More than or equal to 28%

It seems lately that the revenue from the American Region would be higher that i initially expected (less than 28%) so i am updating my forecast accordingly

Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
10% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
15% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
0% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
0% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
3% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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