3.893493
Relative Brier Score
296
Forecasts
16
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 3 | 28 | 308 | 271 | 1046 |
Comments | 0 | 3 | 46 | 44 | 475 |
Questions Forecasted | 3 | 28 | 66 | 59 | 199 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 30 | 27 | 59 |
Definitions |
Active Forecaster
Very likely to happen in a short time...these kind of developments are not tipically announce during development-phase and there are many research initiatives pushing for more so i do believe it is very likely
Updating my forecast and reducing the probability
Updating my forecast considering new trends