only a week left so much less likely than i might have guessed two weeks ago
0.020992
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War
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This forecast expired on Nov 29, 2022 05:40AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
Yes
Oct 29, 2022 to Nov 29, 2022
Files
initial forecast