why announce something that many people do not know or care about.
4.121556
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology,
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
75%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
the networks may have more ethics than i believe.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Why do you think you're right?
its easy to report anything with so much info out there
Files
Why might you be wrong?
i'm unsure what a large language model is.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Why do you think you're right?
i don't know a reason not to.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
its possible they may have some ethics code
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Less than 4 million
25%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
25%
More than or equal to 6 million
Why do you think you're right?
i'm not sure what world id is.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
i'm not sure what it is.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
They'll admit it may happen to be safe
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Its possible its not true.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?