drewledbetter

Passage of time plus no "new" news on this topic of the last month. Has not happened in the last 6 years either, so it would take a massive change over the next 60 days for this to resolve yes. 

Current events make this unlikely given the state of emergency that has recently been issued. 

Japan seems likely based on the meeting with Biden last week and the readouts that came from that. Netherlands is more of a toss-up given the post meeting remarks. Passage of time as well has to be factored into this equation. This could take 2+ months to finalize the exact wording of any potential agreement. 

Unlikely, but a reasonable chance of an assassination or a coup attempt over this period of time. 

I think this is unlikely, but due to the short resolution time period for this question, I think the variance is much higher. China could have launches that are not publicly available on any schedule yet as well. 

I think what is most likely is that they will reduce some restrictions, but a complete reversal of the "zero-covid" policy by the end of this month is unlikely.