There will be an initiative to demonstrate their difference as news organizations reporting information that can be verified as truthful and authentic.
4.617102
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology,
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Profit motive and need to stay relevant with competition in the marketplace will limit these companies' ability to "only" publish photos or videos with digital provenance.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
98%
Yes
2%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Believe this is already.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Depends on Meta's ability and willingness to identify, classify, and report.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
Yes
15%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Continued information on the abilities of AI will push these companies to offer this as an option.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Companies will be slow to roll-out this option while watching popular reaction to AI.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Less than 4 million
60%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
10%
More than or equal to 6 million
Why do you think you're right?
Showing steady growth but still not widely known coupled with privacy concerns.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Could begin exponential growth if some event trigger greater knowledge and push to prove personhood.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
45%
Yes
55%
No
Why do you think you're right?
There will be both regulatory and company initiatives to identify, classify, and highlight potential AI generated content as awareness of AI capabilities become more known.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Companies must have the ability to accurately identify and classify AI generated content. Moreover, the companies themselves - among others across industry - may be using AI generated content to drive revenue.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?