RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:46PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	99%	96%	+3%	+0%
No	1%	4%	-3%	+0%

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:48PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	5%	11%	-6%	+0%
No	95%	89%	+6%	+0%

Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:49PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Estonia	0%	2%	-2%	0%
Latvia	0%	1%	-1%	+0%
Lithuania	0%	1%	-1%	+0%

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 03:49PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	0%	+0%	+0%
No	100%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	100%	+0%	+0%

michalbod