petrov83

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0.072831

Relative Brier Score

2

Forecasts

0

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Most Active Topics:
Future Bowl

New Prediction

A little higher than the crowd, giving more weight to the outside view

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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

As explained by others below, the delays, lack of announcement, and Musk's tweet all suggest that we're looking at least a few weeks into april.

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Why might you be wrong?

Unforeseen changes, faster FAA approval, may still impact the launch timeline

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