with Trump coming in a President it's not the right time
-0.000012
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs,
East Asia Security
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 20, 2024 09:17AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
70%
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
30%
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Trump wants this
Files
Why might you be wrong?
situation in Gaza must stabilize first
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 20, 2025 09:15AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025
90%
No
Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
There no sign of such development I can see
Files
Why might you be wrong?
everything is possible
Files
Why do you think you're right?
NK has history of provoking new US administrations by doing something that draws their attention
Why might you be wrong?
It might not be nuclear provocation - It could be missile launch or a move against the South