sai_39

Saicharan Ritwik Chinni
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Forecasted Questions

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 11, 2024 09:30AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 33%
No 90% 67%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 19, 2024 01:07PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 19, 2024 to Apr 19, 2025 Nov 19, 2024 2%
No 100% Oct 19, 2024 to Apr 19, 2025 Nov 19, 2024 98%

What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 19, 2024 03:23PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 24% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% 0% 1%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% 5% 4%
More than or equal to 28% 95% 94%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 25, 2024 09:55AM UTC
(25 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 2%
No 100% 98%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2024 12:07PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2024 12:07PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025 Jan 27, 2025 0%

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 03, 2024 07:48AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 07, 2024 06:02PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Nov 7, 2024 to May 7, 2025 Dec 7, 2024 0%
No 100% Nov 7, 2024 to May 7, 2025 Dec 7, 2024 100%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 10, 2024 04:45AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 1% 3%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 1% 2%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 10, 2024 04:45AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 97%
No 1% 3%
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