Confirmed previous forecast
-0.014947
Relative Brier Score
3
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0
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Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War
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New Prediction
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
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Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, 25+ in Georgia, but not in Moldova
0%
(0%)
Yes, 25+ in Moldova, but not in Georgia
0%
(0%)
Yes, 25+ in Georgia and 25+ in Moldova
100%
(0%)
No, 25+ in neither Georgia nor Moldova
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