Forecasted Questions
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 29, 2024 01:03AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Aug 29, 2024 01:03AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |
| No | 97% | 99% | -2% | +0% |
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025 | Oct 27, 2024 | 16% | +1% | +7% |
| No | 83% | Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025 | Oct 27, 2024 | 84% | -1% | -7% |
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 16% | 39% | -23% | -2% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 30% | 56% | -26% | +2% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 54% | 5% | +49% | +0% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 27, 2024 07:32PM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 25% | -15% | -3% |
| No | 90% | 75% | +15% | +3% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 27, 2024 07:40PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 27, 2024 07:40PM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35% | Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025 | Oct 27, 2024 | 6% | +29% | -2% |
| No | 65% | Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025 | Oct 27, 2024 | 94% | -29% | +2% |