Confirmed previous forecast
-0.076667
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
56
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 19 | 250 | 56 | 534 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 18 | 52 | 22 | 87 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
32%
(0%)
Yes
68%
(0%)
No
Files
They are faaaaar behind Apple today and have only been ahead of them for some very short periods. Are you sure, that 32 is reflecting that?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
Yes
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
96%
No
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
I do not think that is the time for that to happen, although it is a strategic objective of China.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
China may advance with its plans.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
42%
Yes
58%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Considering the political trends regarding Trump, I believe it will gonna happen. Not so sure about lasting.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It is possible Putin does not agree or make too much conditions.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
18%
(0%)
Yes
82%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
36%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2026
64%
(0%)
No
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
17%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
30%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
40%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
3%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
15%
(0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
0%
(0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
0%
(0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
33%
(0%)
Yes
67%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files