Passage of time.
0.355093
Relative Brier Score
79
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 10 | 10 | 156 | 124 | 388 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| Questions Forecasted | 10 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 128 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 34 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
99%
(+2%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
99%
(+2%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
99%
(+2%)
No
Time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-2%)
Yes
96%
(+2%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
Confirmed previous forecast.