Confirmed previous forecast
-0.403051
Relative Brier Score
24
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Less than 20%
30%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
50%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Xi has gone all in zero covid, i doubt he will switch gears after his recent speech at the people's congress.
Files
Comment deleted on Nov 14, 2022 04:16PM UTC
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 14, 2022 02:22AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 14, 2022 to Dec 14, 2022
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Will likely equalize in the middle.
Why might you be wrong?
Might not equalize.