Confirmed previous forecast
0.273163
Relative Brier Score
52
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
EA College Tournament,
Future Bowl
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In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
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Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Less than 20%
30%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
50%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
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Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Xi has gone all in zero covid, i doubt he will switch gears after his recent speech at the people's congress.
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Comment deleted on Nov 14, 2022 04:16PM UTC
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 14, 2022 02:22AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 14, 2022 to Dec 14, 2022
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
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Why do you think you're right?
Will likely equalize in the middle.
Why might you be wrong?
Might not equalize.