Confirmed previous forecast
1.558046
Relative Brier Score
43
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 85 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Nicolas Maduro takes control of Venezuela by force, just like the previous presidents. This country has a long history with this type of leadership, and in my opinion, it's not going to change.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Venezuela can have legitimate elections only if the resistance takes control of the electoral process.
Files
China has shown a remarkable increase in AI technology, and the solutions they can implement are possible in a short time frame. Therefore, it is highly likely that they will be in the top 3 within the next 12 months.