Confirmed previous forecast
1.558046
Relative Brier Score
43
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 84 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Nicolas Maduro takes control of Venezuela by force, just like the previous presidents. This country has a long history with this type of leadership, and in my opinion, it's not going to change.
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Why might you be wrong?
Venezuela can have legitimate elections only if the resistance takes control of the electoral process.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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