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Christos Iraklis Tsatsoulis
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Forecasted Questions
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Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
 28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:48PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:48PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Sep 14, 2024 to Mar 14, 2025 Oct 14, 2024 1%
No 99% Sep 14, 2024 to Mar 14, 2025 Oct 14, 2024 99%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:48PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Sep 14, 2024 to Mar 14, 2025 Oct 14, 2024 0%
No 99% Sep 14, 2024 to Mar 14, 2025 Oct 14, 2024 100%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:49PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 2%
Latvia 1% 1%
Lithuania 1% 1%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:49PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:50PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:50PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 13% 6%
No 87% 94%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:50PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 27% 25%
No 73% 75%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2024 11:51PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 15% 11%
No 85% 89%

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2024 10:14AM UTC
(15 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 45% Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025 Oct 16, 2024 54%
No 55% Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025 Oct 16, 2024 46%
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