124th
Accuracy Rank

NukePirate

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Relative Brier Score

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Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 10 24 199 191 419
Comments 1 2 7 5 119
Questions Forecasted 10 23 33 30 61
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 2 19 16 45
 Definitions
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
0% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
US presidential election has empowered Israel to continue the fight.
Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Yes
0% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Moldova
0% (0%)
Armenia
1% (0%)
Georgia
0% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2025

No reason to believe China will disrupt status quo while new administration is taking positions on new policy approaches.

Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 15th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2% (0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
6% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets

Russia has more need than Iran at this time.

Files
New Prediction
NukePirate
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Togo
10% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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