Confirmed previous forecast
19.630365
Relative Brier Score
596
Forecasts
80
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 6 | 76 | 53 | 596 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 165 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 128 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 80 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2027
90%
(0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2027
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 9, 2025 to Jun 9, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:18AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
95%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
