Forecasted Questions
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 04:10AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 30, 2024 04:10AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 10% | 4% | +6% | -26% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | Answer was correct | |||
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 31, 2024 04:35AM UTC
(12 months ago)
Dec 31, 2024 04:35AM UTC
(12 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 2% | +8% | -4% |
| No | 90% | 98% | -8% | +4% |
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2025 03:57AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 31, 2025 03:57AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 7% | -1% | -2% |
| No | 94% | 93% | +1% | +2% |
Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2025 05:28PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 29, 2025 05:28PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2% | +1% | -3% |
| No | 97% | 98% | -1% | +3% |