RAND Forecasting Initiative

Forecasted Questions

Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2024 02:55PM UTC
(3 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	90%	96%	-6%	-1%
No	10%	4%	+6%	+1%

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 04:10AM UTC
(1 day ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Togo	10%	33%	-23%	+3%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations	90%	40%	+50%	+1%

ShamirS21