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Definitions |




Why do you think you're right?
Argentina: With a history of multiple defaults, including in 2001, 2014, and 2020, Argentina faces debt maturities exceeding $14 billion in 2025, with insufficient reserves to meet these obligations.
Bolivia: Bolivia's economic outlook is deteriorating, with a rapidly depleting foreign exchange reserves and persistent fiscal deficits
While Bolivia has not defaulted since the 1980s, its deteriorating economic situation and dwindling reserves raise concerns about its ability to service external debt.
The country's bond yields are at or near record highs, reflecting increasing investor concern about Bolivia's economic outlook.
Ecuador: With a high external debt at about 55% of GDP at the end of 2023, Ecuador's economic and political instability, combined with its dependence on oil revenues, make it susceptible to defaulting on its external debt obligations.
Why might you be wrong?
Argentina is poised for significant economic changes in 2025 due to the reforms implemented by President Javier Milei's administration.
These changes are part of President Milei's broader economic reform agenda aimed at stabilizing Argentina's economy and attracting foreign investment.
Bolivia: By implementing various measures, Bolivia could address its current economic challenges, attract more private investment, and foster sustainable and inclusive growth.
https://idbinvest.org/sites/default/files/2022-04/Bolivia-Country-Strategy-IDB-Group-2022.pdf
Ecuador: By implementing structural reforms, Ecuador could attract more private investment, stabilize its energy sector, and foster sustainable economic growth.

Why do you think you're right?
Same rational. Lowering with passage of time.
Why might you be wrong?
There is always the chance that NK could attempt to distract attention from other events.

