Confirmed previous forecast
1.680837
Relative Brier Score
58
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 58 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation,
Future Bowl,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
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Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
No change from last prediction.
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