Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(1 year from now)
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 2, 2024 04:05PM
(7 months ago)
Oct 2, 2024 04:05PM
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 37% | +9% | -4% |
| No | 54% | 63% | -9% | +4% |
Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(5 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 15, 2025 03:12PM
(3 months ago)
Jan 15, 2025 03:12PM
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 30% | 8% | +22% | -3% |
| Bolivia | 14% | 12% | +2% | -5% |
| Ecuador | 14% | 8% | +6% | -2% |