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New Prediction
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 30, 2023 07:07PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 30, 2022 to Jan 30, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
There is no chance it changes in the next 24 hours.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The absolute worst luck possible.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-10%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
It is unlikely that we see any changes in the next 3 months in Russian leadership.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If there are significant victories by Ukraine or if foreign Nations increase their contributions to the war effort in favor of ukraine, we could potentially see Putin being ousted.
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