Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+2%)
Less than $4.60
0%
(-2%)
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.20
The trend keeps going down. RN it's 4.1.
Files