Confirmed previous forecast
0.435983
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
4
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
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New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+2%)
Less than $4.60
0%
(-2%)
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.20
The trend keeps going down. RN it's 4.1.
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