rumi

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Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2025
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Feb 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

North Korea has conducted six nuclear tests between 2006 and 2017 (Union of Concerned Scientists), and is believed to currently possess enough material for dozens of nuclear weapons (SIPRI). 


In 2022, North Korea tested 70 missiles, including short-, medium- and long-range missiles, which is more than at any time in its history (Union of Concerned Scientists). Most recently, North Korea tested new tactical ballistic missiles using super-large warheads and modified cruise missiles on September 18, 2024 (Reuters). North Korea also faces accusations of supplying Russia with weapons including drones and ballistic missiles to be used in the war in Ukraine (Reuters).

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Recent intelligence from South Korea's National Intelligence Service suggests a seventh nuclear test may occur after the U.S. presidential election in November 2024, potentially accompanied by satellite launches and missile tests (Kyodo News). This information comes amid signs of renovation at the previously "destroyed" Punggye-ri nuclear test site and Kim Jong Un's recent visit to a uranium enrichment facility (Union of Concerned Scientists, BBC). 


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Sovereign debt defaults occur when a government is unable or unwilling to meet its financial obligations to external creditors. Sub-Saharan African countries have faced increasing debt pressures in recent years and the risk of debt distress remains a concern (IMF). 


Angola has not defaulted on its external debt in recent decades. Its debt situation has improved recently, yet it remains vulnerable, with significant exposure to Chinese loans (S&P Global, Reuters). Its external debt is projected to be about 52.9% of GDP for 2024 (IMF). 

Kenya has not defaulted on its external debt since gaining independence in 1963. However, it faces increasing pressure from rising debt levels, a depreciating currency, and pressures from external lenders such as China (Chatham House). Its external debt is projected to be about 38% of GDP in 2024 (IMF). 

Ethiopia defaulted on its external debt in December 2023 after failing to make a payment on its only international bond (VOA, Reuters). Its external debt is projected to be 13.9% of its GDP in 2024 (IMF).

Nigeria has not defaulted on its external debt since it received debt relief in 2005-2006. However, its external debt increased significantly in 2023 compared to the previous year and faces significant fiscal pressures (Brookings, Wikipedia, IMF).

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It is just a forcast

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Sovereign debt defaults occur when a government is unable or unwilling to meet its financial obligations to external creditors. Latin American countries have a history of debt crises, with some nations facing ongoing economic challenges that could potentially lead to debt servicing difficulties. 


Argentina has defaulted multiple times in recent decades, including in 2001, 2014, and 2020. As of March 2024, Argentina's external debt was about 45% of GDP (European Parliament, S&P Global, Focus-Economics).  

Bolivia has not defaulted since the 1980s, but is currently facing economic pressures. Its external debt reached 35% of GDP in December 2023, with rapidly depleting foreign exchange reserves raising concerns (Credendo, CEIC Data).

Ecuador last defaulted in May 2020, followed by debt restructuring. Its external debt was about 55% of GDP at the end of 2023, with ongoing economic challenges including fiscal deficits, limited access to international markets, vulnerability to oil price fluctuations, and political instability (FDL, Credendo, IMF).

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It is a forcast just.

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Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are devices that process brain activity and send signals to external software, allowing a user to control devices directly with their thoughts (BuiltIn). BCIs have seen significant advancement in recent years, with companies like Neuralink, Blackrock Neurotech, and Synchron leading their development (MIT Technology Review).

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BCIs are primarily being developed for medical applications, including restoring function to people paralyzed by injury or neurological disorders, helping amputees control robotic arms, supporting research into the human brain, and more (U.S. GAO, IEEE EMBS). The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted breakthrough device designation to several companies and approved limited human trials for BCIs.

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Protein synthesis is a complex process that typically occurs within living cells. However, recent advances in chemical synthesis techniques and AI-driven models are allowing researchers to artificially produce and design protein sequences outside of biological systems, opening up new frontiers in biotechnology and scientific research (phys.org, Briefings in Bioinformatics).

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The ability to design proteins from scratch could revolutionize our understanding of molecular biology and enable breakthrough innovations in drug development, synthetic biology, and advanced materials.

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The development of a shelf-stable whole blood substitute has been a long-standing goal in medical research, with significant implications for emergency medicine, military operations, and remote healthcare. In early 2023, a consortium of universities and biotech companies received substantial funding to develop a whole blood equivalent with a long shelf life that can be freeze-dried for easy portability and reconstituted when onsite. The aim is to create a product that can be easily used in the field by medics at the point of injury, potentially revolutionizing trauma care (Association for the Advancement of Blood and Biotherapies).

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The ideal blood substitute would combine artificial red blood cells, platelets, and plasma components. Current research focuses on developing each of these components separately. For instance, ErythroMer, a biosynthetic red blood cell substitute, has shown promise in preclinical testing and could potentially be more durable and versatile than natural red blood cells (Association for the Advancement of Blood and Biotherapies).

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Drug repurposing, the process of finding new therapeutic uses for existing drugs, is increasingly seen as a promising pathway for developing new treatments, as it can significantly reduce development time and costs compared to creating new drugs (Russian Journal of Bioorganic Chemistry). This approach has shown promise in treating various neurological disorders, including Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s disease.

For traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) in particular, several neurodegenerative disease drugs are being investigated as potential treatments (Frontiers in Neuroscience, Current Medicinal Chemistry). TBIs and neurodegenerative diseases share some common pathological mechanisms, including inflammation, vascular dysfunction, oxidative stress, and the accumulation of pathological proteins (Biological Psychiatry, Frontiers in Pharmacology, The Lancet).


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However, the success rate for drug repurposing is not guaranteed, and only about 30% of repurposed drugs achieve market approval (Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry, PubMed Central). While repurposed drugs have shown promise in preclinical studies, none have yet succeeded in phase 3 trials for the treatment of TBIs. In-silico approaches and artificial intelligence are playing an increasingly crucial role in drug repurposing by helping to accelerate compound and drug target selection (Nature, Drug Repurposing Central).

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In silico methods, which utilize computational data, facilitate virtual testing, reduce reliance on animal studies, and can replace human trials in specific cases where ethical concerns arise (Premier Research, DIA Global Forum). The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) is expected to accelerate the use of in silico methods for drug development (FDA). The FDA has supported the integration of in silico trials in drug development by recognizing their potential to enhance personalized treatment and streamline clinical trials. The FDA's initiatives include the Drug Development Tools Qualification program and the establishment of guidelines like Good Simulation Practices to standardize and validate these models (PubMed, The Clinical Trial Vanguard). This approach aims to accelerate drug approval processes while ensuring safety and efficacy (FDA, FDA). However, such in silico evidence is generally considered complementary rather than a full substitute for in vitro or in vivo preclinical evaluation.

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During a drug’s development process, a company or organization producing the drug must submit an Investigational New Drug (IND) application to the FDA before it can begin clinical investigation (i.e., research trials on human subjects) (FDA). Currently, IND applications require preclinical experiments to be conducted in vitro (with cells, tissues, or biological molecules) and/or in vivo (with animal studies) to understand the drug’s mechanisms of action and level of toxicity before trials on human subjects begin (FDA).

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