213th
Accuracy Rank

zaidan

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2024 Season Stats

7.748258

Relative Brier Score

312

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 2 130 128 606
Comments 0 2 17 15 20
Questions Forecasted 0 2 30 30 95
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 1 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

I do not think it will happen, as they engaged in a truce recently.

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Why might you be wrong?
As the war is going, it is possible the RSF advance to this point.
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New Badge
zaidan earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Although it is possible, I think the FDA has very high criteria and it may impose obstacles to that.

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Why might you be wrong?

It is possible the development of such technology is so fast that it happens.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

There is a trend in this way, but I do not think it is authoritative.

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Why might you be wrong?

It is possible that intra-regional trade even passes 24%, considering tariffs and other elements of current international economy.

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
zaidan made their 17th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Nov 30, 2025 12:34PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
65% (0%)
No
Oct 31, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
zaidan made their 11th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
16% (0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
30% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
54% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
zaidan made their 2nd forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
8% (0%)
Less than $350 million
43% (0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million
23% (0%)
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million
11% (0%)
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million
15% (0%)
More than or equal to $800 million
Confirmed previous forecast
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