| Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 05:01AM | Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025? | 0.05274 |
| Jan 1, 2025 05:01AM | Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024? | 0.003169 |
| Jun 28, 2024 04:00PM | Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024? | 0.003515 |
| Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM | Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023? | 0.000004 |
| Aug 20, 2023 05:25PM | Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023? | 0.006662 |