Just a guess. I wasn't even aware there was such a thing as a World ID.
0.493644
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New Prediction
How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
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My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
I think EU authorities will take visible action against one of these companies to encourage compliance with the Digital Services Act. Google's CEO has already indicated they (and likely others) have the technology to detect AI-generated content. I believe that once one company receives a fine, at least one other company will deploy this kind of feature to stay ahead of regulators.
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