Just a guess. I wasn't even aware there was such a thing as a World ID.
0.479337
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
I think EU authorities will take visible action against one of these companies to encourage compliance with the Digital Services Act. Google's CEO has already indicated they (and likely others) have the technology to detect AI-generated content. I believe that once one company receives a fine, at least one other company will deploy this kind of feature to stay ahead of regulators.
Files