In the next elections we will see the ratification of Maduro as president
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
26%
(0%)
Yes
74%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
26%
Yes
74%
No
I addition to a series of measures that call into question the transparency of the elections. Maduro recently abandoned the invitation to the European Union to act as an observer in the elections will not be sufficientty transparent
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 30, 2024 06:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31%
Yes
Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
69%
No
Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Based on Iran's reaction to the Arab countries' discontent with Israel's offensives , this country will try to reduce the intensity of the confrontation.
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Top Forecaster - Mar 2024
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Why do you think you're right?
Según las tendencias recientes y suponiendo que los niveles de actividad se mantengan constantes, podríamos esperar entre 200 y 400 casos de desinformación en alemán procedente de medios de comunicación afines al Kremlin durante el período comprendido entre el 1 de octubre de 2024 y el 30 de septiembre de 2025. Este rango considera un promedio de 4 a 8 casos por semana, dependiendo de los acontecimientos internacionales relevantes y de las campañas de desinformación específicas. Sin embargo, esta cifra podría variar significativamente si surgen crisis geopolíticas o elecciones clave en Alemania.
Why might you be wrong?
Sin embargo, esta cifra podría variar significativamente si surgen crisis geopolíticas o elecciones clave en Alemania.