I addition to a series of measures that call into question the transparency of the elections. Maduro recently abandoned the invitation to the European Union to act as an observer in the elections will not be sufficientty transparent
-0.120194
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
1
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Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
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Probability
Answer
26%
Yes
74%
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 30, 2024 06:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31%
Yes
Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
69%
No
Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Based on Iran's reaction to the Arab countries' discontent with Israel's offensives , this country will try to reduce the intensity of the confrontation.
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This forecast expired on Apr 30, 2024 10:32PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
25%
Yes
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
75%
No
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
We will not see the normalization of relations with Israel until the hostilities against Gaza have stopped
Files
In the next elections we will see the ratification of Maduro as president