fohtrae

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0.002714

Relative Brier Score

3

Forecasts

0

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New Prediction
fohtrae
made their 1st forecast (view all):
fohtrae quit this question on Jul 31, 2024 02:00AM
Probability
Answer
98%
Yes
2%
No
The technology is advanced and there are many telescopes aimed to find such things. Plus, potentially habitable places are reasonably common.
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New Prediction
The pirates aren’t going to stop. They might risk it because they need to move oil around as cheaply as possible, but loss of life, ships , and product is too expensive.
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fohtrae
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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
If he does have cancer, he doesn’t look only 2+ months from dying of it. I don’t see him being deposed, voted out, or in any other way removed from power. No one dares.
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