The technology is advanced and there are many telescopes aimed to find such things. Plus, potentially habitable places are reasonably common.
0.002714
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
98%
Yes
2%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
The pirates aren’t going to stop. They might risk it because they need to move oil around as cheaply as possible, but loss of life, ships , and product is too expensive.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
If he does have cancer, he doesn’t look only 2+ months from dying of it. I don’t see him being deposed, voted out, or in any other way removed from power. No one dares.
Files