The technology is advanced and there are many telescopes aimed to find such things. Plus, potentially habitable places are reasonably common.
0.002714
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence
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Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
fohtrae
quit this question on Jul 31, 2024 02:00AM
Probability
Answer
98%
Yes
2%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
The pirates aren’t going to stop. They might risk it because they need to move oil around as cheaply as possible, but loss of life, ships , and product is too expensive.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
If he does have cancer, he doesn’t look only 2+ months from dying of it. I don’t see him being deposed, voted out, or in any other way removed from power. No one dares.
Files