Although pandemic & panzootic declarations happen with some frequency, for them to be declared, moreover publicly, as due to originating directly from human bioengineering activity, seems unprecedented.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Freak accidents, mostly.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
42%
(0%)
Yes
58%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-48%)
Yes
100%
(+48%)
No
Updating forecast after the October clarification.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
98%
No
His age
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
42%
Yes
58%
No
Gut feel based on past data
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Gut feel
Why might you be wrong?
Gut feel