kenarko

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-0.234472

Relative Brier Score

17

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 4 17 17 17
Comments 0 0 4 4 4
Questions Forecasted 0 3 11 11 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions


New Prediction
kenarko
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (-96%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
98% (+96%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025

It's too risky for them.

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New Prediction

It's possible but I think AI enthusiasm is in and will continue to be in a downward trend, which won't be great for NVIDIA.

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New Badge
kenarko
earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction
kenarko
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
98%
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
2%
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025

Comment deleted on Oct 30, 2024 11:19PM UTC

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New Badge
kenarko
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
kenarko
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2025
90%
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2025

They are too far behind and are stifled by their legal restrictions on information.

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New Prediction
kenarko
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
kenarko quit this question on Jul 31, 2024 02:00AM
Probability
Answer
80% (0%)
Yes
20% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
kenarko
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Moldova
1% (0%)
Armenia
9% (0%)
Georgia
15% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
kenarko
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Estonia
3% (0%)
Latvia
3% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
kenarko
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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