RAND Forecasting Initiative

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Topics

Select All

Artificial Intelligence (2) only
International Diplomac... (22) only
Iran: Threats & Influence (2) only
Russia-Ukraine War (9) only
Science & Technology (6) only

Your Score

Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?

Closed Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM · 126 · 236

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?

Closed Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM · 172 · 590

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)

Closed Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM · 155 · 283

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)

Closed Dec 3, 2022 10:00PM · 88 · 167

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Closed Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM · 188 · 415

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)

Closed Nov 6, 2022 08:00PM · 129 · 182

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month?

Closed Apr 5, 2023 07:14PM · 183 · 506

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)

Closed Nov 3, 2022 10:00PM · 87 · 179

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022)

Closed Oct 3, 2022 10:00PM · 82 · 170

From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will 50 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in India?

Closed Sep 1, 2023 04:00AM · 49 · 300